New Online Luck Analyzer Released

Date: 2009-11-08
Author: Jayme Lyttle

From time to time, it’s nice to see exactly just how lucky or unlucky we have been over a few days or months at the tables.  The only accurate way to do this is to run our hand histories through some calculators to see what the numbers say.  Many players complain about running bad, but the fact is, they may be running above expectations and still losing.  If this is the case, we have to dig into our game and plug the leaks. 

A few months ago, we featured two products called Holdem Luck and Tourney Luck.  These are programs that allow you to go through you hand history database to see if you are running above or below expectations.  You simply download the client and run the program, but there are a couple of drawbacks to these analyzers.  You had to have PostgreSQL on your computer with your hand histories stored in it and there were a few stability concerns.  Thanks to recent development in the analyzer arena, we have a solution that is solid and very easy to use online. is a brand new online luck analyzer that will allow you to upload your hand histories from PokerStars, Full Tilt Poker, and PartyPoker to get your expectation graphs presented to you showing your good and bad luck.  After each hand history upload, you will be presented with statistics along with corresponding graphs.  You will quickly know the time period played, total winnings, expected all-in winnings, and your expected win rate.  Based on these statistics, you will receive a luck percentage along with a Luck Meter showing how your luck stacks up:

The first graph presented is the Expected vs. Realized Winnings graph.  This graph shows you how well you did versus how well you were expected to do based on the hands you were dealt.  There is also a Key Hands feature included with this graph.  The analyzer goes through the hand history file you upload and picks out the key all-in spots and big hands so you can review them:

The next graph presented is the Showdown vs. Non-Showdown Winnings graph.  This graph is perhaps most useful for finding out if we are outplaying our opponents enough.  If your non-showdown winnings are not high enough, then you probably aren’t 3betting enough, stealing enough, or re-stealing enough.  We need to be taking down pots uncontested and/or without showdowns, so this graph will tell us if we are winning a good portion of those hands and if we are winning the hands that we do show down.  There is also a Key Hands feature attached to this graph.

The last graph is the All-In Expectation vs. Realized Winnings graph.  This graph represents only the hands where either you or your opponent were all-in.  For the sit and go grinders, this graph can be really useful.  Since we are all-in so often in sit and gos, this graph will allow us to see if we are running above or below expectations in our all-in situations.  If we are running above expectations in these spots, but not turning a profit, then we need to find out why that is and do some work on our game.  Once again, this graph comes with a Key Hands feature: is a really nice product with good support.  The number of hands that you can upload at once is undetermined at this point, but we should have a better idea of what the limit is once the developers have received more feedback from the poker community.  Currently, the service is free to use, but there are no guarantees on it staying that way.  Go check it out.  It’s free, easy to use, and you just might be surprised at what you find out about your game.  Post in the Software Discussion forum and tell us what you think!

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2012-01-09 07:30:07


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